The United States has, since the Woodrow Wilson Administration, pursued a trade policy marred by liberal ideology. Liberalism proposes that all men, through reason, can ascertain universal axioms that are applicable to all humans, in all locations, at all times. Liberal thinkers, like John Locke and Thomas Jefferson, posited that central to these axioms is the belief that humans are inherently free by their nature, and that the preservation of this freedom is the central aim of the State. The individual is the central actor within the liberal paradigm.
Any restriction on the individual’s freedom is to be
denounced as the greatest sin. Economists reduce the individual to being
nothing more than a consumer. All decisions the individual makes result in the
consumption of varying amounts of “utility”, or happiness/satisfaction. All
non-monetary sources of utility, like concepts of fairness, duty, and honor,
are overlooked by liberal economists, or outride discarded. Material
consumption, particularly the maximization of that consumption, is what reigns
supreme.
Liberal trade policy will posit questions like, would
trade liberalism result in lower prices for consumers? Would it maximize the
profit of firms? Would it create allocative or productive efficiency, herein
defined as the maximization of surplus consumption? Everything in liberal
economic theory reduces the individual to being a consumer and acting solely in
his or her role as a consumer. Any consideration of the polity is solely in the
manner of aggregate consumption.
Herein we find the failures of liberalism. Individuals
are not islands that live within a sea of isolation. Humans are social
creatures by our nature and are born into complex social organs that are
predicated on mutual loyalty. We are born into families with parents,
grandparents, siblings, aunts, uncles, and cousins, each of whom we share varying
mutual bonds of loyalty and affection. We extend and intertwine our families
with other families through marriage, creating our own cells within the broader
organ by having our own children. Through marriage and child rearing, we create
new bonds of mutual loyalty that we ultimately view as an extension of ourselves.
Families coalesce with other families, beyond
marriage, over common interests, including safety, education, commerce, faith,
and preferences. Families build neighborhoods, neighborhoods build communities,
and communities build a nation, each with common traits that foster mutual loyalty.
For the nation, these traits can, and often are, a common language, religion,
history, customs, manners, and values. The nation is not forged in a single
juncture in time, but over decades, centuries, or millennia of ancestral
development. Institutions are formed not through the individual reason of a
single generation, but from the collective wisdom of the past, present, and
future all working together.
Humans are more than just consumers. They are also
providers, producers, creators, parents, grandparents, believers, neighbors,
and community members. We view each of these roles as extensions of who we are
and therefore we feel utility and disutility when those in our social network thrive
or fall. Contrary to liberal mythos, humans do care about these social
institutions and have a natural gravitation to them. Likewise, we do not share
equal degrees of mutual loyalty within each level of association. While you may
feel compassion for individuals outside your family, you will not share the
same affection or loyalty to another random person, or at least you shouldn’t,
as your spouse. You wouldn’t feel the same way about the neighbor at the end of
the street as you would your children. You normally do not feel the same way
about a coworker as you would your sibling.
Similarly, if you live in Pensacola, Florida, you
wouldn’t feel the same connection and loyalty to someone who lives in Manhattan
as you would for someone who lives in Pace, or in Bellview, or Gulf Breeze.
This is because community is a real social bond. It’s not as strong as family,
or neighborhood, but it is still an extension of yourself, just to different
degree. The same is true for the nation as a whole. You share a common
connection and loyalty to your fellow American that you don’t with say someone
from Japan, or Indonesia, or Sudan. Again, this doesn’t discount compassion
that we can have for our fellow man, and we still do share a common connection
as human beings, but that is still lesser than connection of the nation, as a
collection of individuals who share a common language, religion, history,
customs, manners, and values.
I raise the failures of liberalism in general in the
matter of trade, because liberal trade policy, which seeks to elevate the
individual as a material consumer above all other human roles, and sets the
ultimate end as economic freedom, rather than the holistic wellbeing of the
individual, including that which extends from him, because it demonstrates how liberal
trade policy, by its foundation, is misguided.
Liberal free trade policy, which seeks to maximize
economic freedom by removing domestic trade barriers, are intended to enable nations
to specialize production in those industries with which they have a comparative
advantage. Comparative advantage is the economic term that refers to the capacity
of a nation to produce a specified good by forgoing less of an alternative good
than its trading partner. For example, if the United States can produce 50 tons
of beef and 50 tons of corn, then for each ton of beef produced, the United
States must forego one ton of corn. If Mexico can produce 10 tons of beef and
20 tons of corn, then for every one ton of beef it can produce, it must forgo two
tons of corn. The United States can produce beef by forgoing less amount of
corn, and therefore has a comparative advantage in producing beef.
The Ricardian idea concludes that if countries
specialize and trade, with the price of beef to corn being established
somewhere between the domestic price of beef in the U.S. and the domestic price
of beef in Mexico, then both countries can end up with more and therefore
consumers will be able to consume more than before, we have wonderful economic
efficiency.
There are fundamental problems with Ricardo’s theory.
First, he only accounts for labor in the production process, believing that
capital is simply a byproduct of labor and therefore nothing more than an extension
of labor. Second, he believed in the labor theory of value, the archaic belief
that all things have an inherent value that can be measured by the amount of
labor used to produce it. Through the perspective of the labor theory of value,
then the global price of beef or corn would just be a ratio of the amount of
labor needed to produce each good in each country. The third major failure is
that he assumes that labor, and therefore, capital are immobile between
countries. Finally, he posited that any disparity in trade would be
self-corrected by international flows of money.
Each of these assumptions by David Ricardo have been
proven false, hence why countless new models of international trade have been
cultivated by liberal economists trying to rationalize its failures. First,
labor is not the only input in production, and capital is not just a byproduct
of labor. While it is produced by labor (though less and less so in the age of
robotics), it is also an amplifier for labor productivity. Land, or natural
resources, and technology are also essential components of production.
Secondly, the labor theory of value is hogwash. The
marginalist revolutions of Britain and Austria demonstrated this with such
clarity that even universities, which hold to the liberal dogma of classical economics,
solely teach the subjective theory of value. The value of all goods and
services are not predicated upon the amount of labor that is used in
production, but the subjective preferences of the individual consumers, each
acting in their own self-interest, with his or her own consumer sovereignty.
This means that the price of beef can be wholly
disconnected from the price of wheat, and the price of labor used in
cultivating wheat can be entirely distinct from the price of wheat. This means
that having a comparative advantage in wheat doesn’t inherently mean that the
beef you are buying is of equal value to the market. It is possible that the
wheat you grow and sell to foreign countries will be worth less than the beef
that you buy from those same foreign countries.
Third, and arguably most importantly, is that Ricardo’s
presumption that labor and capital are immobile between countries is almost
comedically false. In the age of “economic liberalism” under the branding of
free trade, producers are free to abandon the interests of the family,
community, and nation, for the advancement of individual consumption, by moving
production from higher cost labor to those foreign nations that possess lower
cost labor, and shift capital to meet that demand. Profits do in fact increase
for these corporations, and prices are lower for the consumer, and consume they
do, but the nation ultimately suffers. Families are left without employment,
communities without an economic foundation, and the nation as an assembly of despair
reliant upon foreign nations who share not the common ancestry or the degree of
mutual loyalty.
Finally, Ricardo’s belief that trade would always
self-correct was predicated upon both a distinct system of money that is wholly
distinct from our own, and rooted in unrealistic idealism. The central premise
of Ricardian self-correction is that when one country trades more to another
country, i.e. a trade deficit emerges, then the country that is the beneficiary
of the trade deficit will receive a net addition of its currency within the
exchange market, as the foreign importing country will be required to exchange its
foreign currency for the domestic currency, resulting in an overall
appreciation in the value of the domestic currency, making its continued
exports more expensive to the importing nation. Likewise, the net outflow of
currency from the suffering nation will result in a depreciation in its
currency, resulting in the foreign nation exporting more to the domestic
nation, resulting in a natural elimination of the trade deficit.
This belief fails on two fronts. First, Ricardo
cultivated this theory when the world still operated on the classical gold
standard, where net inflows and outflows of gold did have an equilibrium mechanism
on markets. However, the world today operates entirely on a complex network of
fiat currencies, each managed by a separate central bank, for the purpose of
advancing the interests of the varying nations. Each of the nations use their
governments regulatory, fiscal, and monetary policy to distort this natural equilibrating
force so that trade deficits do not self-correct. Hence why the American trade
deficit is now a fifty-three-year problem, and one that is tragically getting
worse, not better.
We should also address the liberal dismissal of trade
deficits as a viable measure of concern within the macro economy. You will hear
proponents of liberal trade policy argue that trade deficits are not areas of
concern, and should be dismissed either as symptoms of a bigger problem, or
discarded entirely. I’ve even heard proponents make comparisons between trade
deficits and shopping at a local grocery store. The argument goes something to
this effect. “You have a trade deficit with your local grocery store. You don’t
go into Publix, or Walmart, or Target, and trade goods with the cashier, you go
in and you load up your cart and you hand them money and walk out. You bought
goods, and didn’t sell any in return, that’s a trade deficit.”
These voices are correct, but only in the narrowest
sense. In a capitalist system, you do specialize and through specialization,
you will have varying trade deficits with various actors. Your boss has a trade
deficit with you, because you sold them labor and they didn’t sell you anything
back, and therefore had to pay you a wage via money. These individual
transactions are pointless to the discussion of trade deficits. We may be
concerned and analyze these trade deficits if they were a product of malfeasance.
If the United States has a trade deficit with China because China routinely
engages in currency manipulation, intellectual property theft, export
subsidization, etc., then that would be a matter of specified concern.
What those critiques of liberal trade policy are
actually concerned about is the aggregate trade deficit, and particularly
whether it’s a chronic problem. Yes, you have a trade deficit with your grocery
store, but do you have a trade deficit with the broader society? In other
words, you sell your labor to an employer who, in turn, pays you a wage. You
then take that wage and buy the various things you want and need through that
period. Do you buy more from society than you produced, or do you buy less than
you produced. If you lived within your means then you incurred a trade surplus
with society. If you lived outside your means then you ran a trade deficit.
There is no problem with individuals, communities, or nations incurring a trade
deficit in a given year. Families will do it if they are buying a home via mortgage.
Communities may be doing it if they are building a new school. Nations may be
doing it if they are fighting a war, surviving the business cycle, or facing a drought.
However, families, communities, and nations cannot consistently
operate at a trade deficit. If a family routinely lives outside of its means, i.e.,
buys from society more than it provides society in production, then it will deplete
its assets and compound its debt, until it has no choice but to enter
liquidation or bankruptcy. Likewise, if a nation continuously runs a trade
deficit with the rest of the world, that means it is consuming more from the
world than what it is producing. The only way to do this is to liquidate assets
or assume more debt. This weakens the nation, much like it weakens the families
and communities.
It is no surprise that in the fifty-three years since the
United States first began to incur a chronic trade deficit, the percentage of federal
debt to GDP has risen from 35% in 1972 to 121% in 2025. More concerning, the
percentage of private debt to GDP grew from about 80% in 1972 to 142% in 2025.
You cannot live beyond your means forever, nor is it wise for a nation to
leverage so much economic power to foreign nations that do not share the same interests
as the domestic nation. Indebtedness is the inevitable conclusion of a policy
that prioritizes material consumption, and defines efficiency as that which
maximizes material consumption. When you advance unbridled freedom as the
ultimate end, then you will get the fruits of freedom unbridled by virtue.
It is high time that we reject liberal trade policy,
as part of a broader rejection of liberalism itself. Conservative trade policy
doesn’t call for autarky or isolation. It simply says that the State should pursue
trade policy that places the holistic wellbeing of the family, community, and
nation as the ultimate end. Trade is still highly beneficial for the nation, but
that trade should be tempered by national interests, and not just the
maximization of corporate profits or the maximization of individual material consumption.
We should ground our policy in reality, not in fantastical idealism. Liberalism
ignores the reality of the social fabric, conservatism embraces it. Liberal
trade policy may have led us astray this past century, but a conservative trade
policy can bring us back.
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